Calculating Ohio State football wins needed for College Football Playoff at-large bid

The Ohio State football team has one of the best rosters in all of college football. It's pretty clear that they are a true contender to win a national championship. While they have only made the College Football Playoff once in the last three years, that shouldn't be an issue in 2024.

That's because the Playoff expands to 12 teams for the first time. This probably won't be the only time that the CFP expands either. It'll probably get up to 16 teams at some point because presidents and athletic directors can't stop grabbing as much money as they can even if it's not for the betterment of the sport.

The Buckeyes just let the last game of the season keep them out of the four-team Playoff multiple times over the past few years. They haven't been able to beat Michigan. 11 wins just weren't enough. How many wins do the Buckeyes need to have to make it this year?

Where will the 10 wins for the Ohio State football team come from in 2024?

10 wins should be enough to get the Ohio State football team into the College Football Playoff this year. That's true as long as the two losses don't come to bad teams. Losing to Oregon and Penn State both on the road would still leave them in the CFP.

Two losses to Michigan and Iowa, both home games for the Buckeyes, might cause them to miss it. They almost certainly wouldn't get the chance to play in the Big Ten Championship to get an extra win on their resume if they have two losses. The losses have to be to the right teams.

Of course, the Buckeyes can avoid this if they just win all of their games. They should be favored in most of their games, perhaps only being an underdog against Oregon. 11 wins are expected. Anything fewer than 10 is a disaster.