You can't always trust AI. While AI platforms could quickly scan the internet and pull numbers well, they miss the human element that allows us to judge the future based on how human beings are behaving.
Take, for example, ChatGPT's prediction for who could be college football's next dynasty within the next 10 years. ChatGPT has the Texas Longhorns as the likeliest, with a 20% chance; the Georgia Bulldogs next, with a 17% chance; and the Ohio State Buckeyes, with a 14% chance.
Sure, on the surface, UT Austin's deep pockets and talent-rich recruiting home-base is a strong indicator that the winning will continue at the best rate in the sport. Ditto for UGA's old-school abilities to keep talent in its home region away from the biggest national spenders, even in the modern day.
Those institutions have been built on the backs of their current head coaches, though. Must we remember what the Longhorns were doing before Steve Sarkisian arrived? Texas was relevant on a national scale for one year under Tom Herman and was downright bad under Charlie Strong. As for the Dawgs, Mark Richt had them winning, but no one was talking dynasty like they are now because of Kirby Smart's back-to-back titles to kick off the NIL era and consistent CFP appearances since.
The Ohio State University has been consistently great under the past three long-term, full-time head coaches, winning a title with Ryan Day, Urban Meyer, and Jim Tressel. Thank you to Luke Fickell for biting the bullet in 2011 during a disastrous interim year following the "Tattoogate" scandal. There's undoubtedly program stability that preceded the man currently in the head coaching seat.
Texas' path to a dynasty is replacing Steve Sarkisian with Rhett Lashlee
The dynasty would start after Sark in Austin. As good as Sarkisian has been, his attitude is not that of a dynastic leader. Dynasties don't have leaders complaining about the schedule. Dynasties do have loyal coaches who are willing to build from the ground up with a yeoman's mentality.
That's SMU Mustangs head coach Rhett Lashlee, who has turned the Dallas-based private school into an ACC juggernaut, even without the program getting a cut from the media rights deal for a while. While Lashlee could wait that out and lead a juggernaut once the TV money pours in, he's the best candidate for Texas' job now.
Sarkisian seems to be cracking under the pressure behind the scenes on the Forty Acres, and it's bearing out in his interviews. Get cool-hand Lashlee in there to really turn this thing into a dynasty. There may not be another option that could truly transform the Longhorns into a dynasty, though. That job is one of the toughest in sports and needs the right kind of leader to make it work at the highest level.
They might not have it right now. And it may not be out there within the next 10 years if Lashlee isn't leaving the 'Stangs.
Georgia could be screwed if Kirby Smart ever leaves for the NFL
Smart isn't leaving UGA for just any job. As an alum, there isn't another college out there that can secure his services. With that said, perhaps the allure of the NFL, specifically, making his home-state Atlanta Falcons respectable again, could one day be too tempting to pass up.
If Smart leaves Athens, the Dawgs are screwed. There isn't top-tier institutional financial support at Georgia, and Smart is doing a lot of heavy lifting by nabbing recruits the old-school way, with relationship-based efforts. It's unlikely the Bulldogs would be able to find a replacement who could maintain Smart's standard.
Ryan Day isn't going anywhere, but if he did, Ohio State would be fine
Not to discredit what Day has accomplished, but his eventual departure won't cripple the program. The Ohio State University will have a plan, just like it did when it transitioned from Meyer to Day. There aren't any obvious candidates yet to replace Day, though James Laurinaitis and Matt Guerrieri are quickly becoming stars if the program wanted to consider a defensive mind again.
Because of the minimal variables that require it to be a dynasty, at least compared to the head-coaching-reliant Dawgs and Longhorns, who don't have nearly the well-oiled machine that the Buckeyes have, Ohio State is the likeliest to field a dynasty. And that's not just a look through Scarlet and Gray-colored glasses dictating that belief.
Add us as a preferred source on Google