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Ohio State vs Penn State Best Bet and Pick (Back the Buckeyes)

By Vinnie Portell

Ohio State Buckeyes forward Brice Sensabaugh (10) celebrates after scoring during the NCAA’s men’s basketball game against the Purdue Boilermakers, Sunday, Feb. 19, 2023, at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Ind. Purdue won 82-55.Puosu021923 Am07289
Ohio State Buckeyes forward Brice Sensabaugh (10) celebrates after scoring during the NCAA’s men’s basketball game against the Purdue Boilermakers, Sunday, Feb. 19, 2023, at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Ind. Purdue won 82-55.Puosu021923 Am07289 /
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Wins have been hard to come by for both the Buckeyes and the Nittany Lions since Big Ten play began, but something has to give tonight when they face off.

Ohio State has gone an abysmal 2-13 in conference play after opening at 9-3, and while Penn State has fared better, the Nittany Lions still have a losing conference record, too.

But just because both of these teams are at the bottom of the conference, it doesn’t mean there isn’t value to be had when betting on this matchup.

I’ll give you my betting pick and prediction for this game, but before I do, you’ll want to check out this high-value promotion from Caesars Sportsbook.

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Now let’s see how you want to use that insured bet on tonight’s Ohio State vs. Penn State game.

Penn State at Ohio State prediction and pick

Home-court advantage is one of the most influential factors when picking a winner in college basketball.

Most teams are good at home and some are downright unbeatable. The reverse is also true about playing on the road at that level, too.

Just look at Penn State’s home vs. road splits. The Nittany Lions are an impressive 12-2 at home but just 2-7 on the road. The Buckeyes own an 8-5 record at home and are just 1-9 away from their home court.

But let’s dive a little deeper than where these teams are playing.

These teams are relatively close when it comes to ability. Penn State is ranked No. 51 in KenPom while Ohio State isn’t too far behind at 63, despite a five-game difference in the teams’ records.

The two teams have made almost the exact same amount of field goals, but a drastic difference is that Penn State has made 114 more 3-pointers (!!) than the Buckeyes.

But Ohio State has fared much better in the post, averaging five more rebounds and one more block per game than Penn State.

With these two teams so closely matched, give me Ohio State at home with -135 moneyline odds. The Nittany Lions attempt nearly 28 3-pointers per game. If their shooting is even a little off on the road, Ohio State will clean up the missed and control the tempo.

Back the Buckeyes with confidence tonight, and if you’re feeling bold, take the under 142.5 as well to double down on a bad shooting night from Penn State.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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