Last week, we dissected the possibilities for Ohio State’s outlook in the preliminary BCS standings which were released yesterday. Today, we will look at some major upsets that happened on Saturday and breakdown the BCS rankings. Taken from last week’s article, here are the teams that I deemed with at least a chance at playing for the title in January that lost this past weekend:
Clemson (6-1), LSU (6-2), Texas A&M (5-2), Louisville (6-1), UCLA (5-1), South Carolina (5-2). These losses all helped Ohio State, as well as those dark horse candidates. The list now looks like this:
- Alabama (7-0)
- Oregon (7-0)
- Florida State (6-0)
- Ohio State (7-0)
- Stanford (6-1)
- Missouri (7-0)
- Miami (6-0)
- Baylor (6-0)
- Texas Tech (7-0)
- Auburn (6-1)
Right now, Alabama, Oregon, and Florida State are well ahead of the pack. Stanford and Miami have the best opportunities to move up with their matchups against Oregon and Florida State/Clemson respectively. Baylor and Texas Tech could each run the table in the Big 12. Missouri and Auburn could win the SEC. Ohio State could win the Big 10 and win out. These are really the only 10 realistic teams with a chance at the national title.
Ohio State fans were also pleased with some help from the Big Ten. Nebraska, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Michigan State all won this past weekend. These four teams need to continue to win so that the Big Ten appears stronger in the polls. Nebraska and MSU are not on Ohio State’s schedule, however, if Nebraska can win out until the Big Ten Championship Game, Ohio State may have another top 15 matchup on their schedule. Buckeye fans should also be hopeful for Michigan to go on a streak because Ohio State’s computer rankings are very low. Ohio State is currently number 5 in the computers, so teams like Missouri, Stanford, and oddly enough, Virginia Tech, would really help the Buckeyes as well. Of course, the real thing Ohio State needs is losses from Oregon and Florida State. Here’s a look at the matchups this week:
UCLA @ Oregon: Despite UCLA’s 1 loss, beating Oregon would help Ohio State immensely in the polls. UCLA would receive a boost in the polls but are not a threat to make the national title game. UCLA will likely have another chance at Oregon in the Pac 12 championship if they lose this game. Its unlikely UCLA will win at the Zoo, but its been a crazy few weeks in college football.
NC State @ Florida State: NC State is searching for their first ACC win. Expect a huge day from Winston and a blow out.
South Carolina @ Missouri: Mizzou has knocked off ranked conference foes in consecutive weeks. Both teams will be playing with their backup quarterbacks in this matchup. This is Mizzou’s last test until games against Ole Miss and Texas A&M the last two weeks of the season. South Carolina will be hungry for a rebound win following their loss to Tennessee this past weekend. This could be the game of the week and could really go either way.
Stanford @ Oregon State: Oregon State has quietly put together a 6-1 campaign and rounded out the top 25 in the BCS rankings on Sunday. Oregon State has a great chance at an upset here, which would really help the Buckeyes in the computer rankings.
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma: Texas Tech needs this win. Oklahoma is actually the big favorite in Las Vegas. This win gives Texas Tech legitimacy before a matchup with Baylor on November 16.
Ohio State would obviously need to beat Penn State (and pretty soundly) in order to improve their strength in the polls.
For more on Ohio State and rankings, check out this post on the TiqIQ blog about the TiqIQ Top 25.